Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001547 0.001632 0.001720 0.001817 0.001921 0.002031 0.002154
2025-06-01 0.001401 0.001521 0.001650 0.001797 0.001963 0.002144 0.002357
2025-06-08 0.001314 0.001458 0.001617 0.001805 0.002023 0.002270 0.002573
2025-06-15 0.001234 0.001393 0.001572 0.001790 0.002050 0.002352 0.002736
2025-06-22 0.001174 0.001345 0.001540 0.001784 0.002082 0.002438 0.002901
2025-06-29 0.001117 0.001295 0.001503 0.001766 0.002095 0.002497 0.003035
2025-07-06 0.001065 0.001248 0.001466 0.001746 0.002102 0.002546 0.003155
2025-07-13 0.001008 0.001192 0.001413 0.001702 0.002075 0.002549 0.003212
2025-07-20 0.000979 0.001169 0.001400 0.001707 0.002109 0.002631 0.003377
2025-07-27 0.000956 0.001151 0.001392 0.001716 0.002149 0.002721 0.003557
2025-08-03 0.000939 0.001142 0.001394 0.001738 0.002205 0.002834 0.003774
2025-08-10 0.000914 0.001119 0.001378 0.001734 0.002226 0.002899 0.003925
2025-08-17 0.000877 0.001082 0.001344 0.001708 0.002218 0.002928 0.004032
2025-08-24 0.000848 0.001054 0.001319 0.001694 0.002226 0.002979 0.004177
2025-08-31 0.000828 0.001038 0.001311 0.001702 0.002266 0.003078 0.004401
2025-09-07 0.000803 0.001013 0.001289 0.001689 0.002273 0.003129 0.004551
2025-09-14 0.000782 0.000993 0.001273 0.001683 0.002291 0.003196 0.004732
2025-09-21 0.000758 0.000969 0.001250 0.001667 0.002292 0.003236 0.004869
2025-09-28 0.000735 0.000944 0.001226 0.001648 0.002287 0.003267 0.004993
2025-10-05 0.000706 0.000911 0.001189 0.001607 0.002247 0.003240 0.005013
2025-10-12 0.000693 0.000900 0.001182 0.001612 0.002277 0.003326 0.005237
2025-10-19 0.000683 0.000891 0.001179 0.001621 0.002314 0.003425 0.005492
2025-10-26 0.000676 0.000888 0.001183 0.001641 0.002370 0.003556 0.005816